Global Risks 2035: Search for a New Normal

In the four years since the National Intelligence Council’s Global Trends 2030 was published, the biggest change in the world is the increased risk of major conflict. In 2012, a large-scale US/NATO conflict with Russia or China was close to unthinkable. Now, the post-Cold War security order has broken down, and the consequences are immense, potentially threatening globalization itself.

In Global Risks 2035: Search for a New Normal, Mathew Burrows, director of the Atlantic Council’s Strategic Foresight Initiative and author of Global Trends 2030, analyzes geopolitical and technological trends to present five alternative futures based on how well global actors may respond, react, and adapt to growing uncertainty and change. A panel, consisting of report author Mathew Burrows, Millennium Leadership Fellow Samantha Vinograd, Former US Ambassador to Mexico and Argentina Earl Anthony Wayne, and Director of Communications for 1776 Erin McPike, discussed the highlights of Burrows’ report and then responded to questions from the audience on September 22, 2016. The original report can be found here.

The Future of the Army: Today, Tomorrow, and the Day after Tomorrow

In light of a shrinking force structure and limited resources despite increasing global commitments, our panelists David Barno and Nora Bensahel, senior fellows at the Atlantic Council’s Brent Scowcroft Center on International Security; Brad Carson, former Undersecretary of Defense for Personnel and Readiness at US Department of Defense provide a range of recommendations in three distinct time horizons to help Army leaders build the next Army successfully. From the Army Today, 2016-20, the Army of Tomorrow, 2020-25, and the Army of the Day After Tomorrow, 2025-40+, Barno and Bensahel offer fresh ideas that spark debate, challenge hoary assumptions, and animate the need for change. The event took place on September 21. 2016, moderated by Missy Ryan of the Washington Post. The original report by Barno and Bensahel is available here.