On November 30, 2016, The Atlantic Council released the Middle East Strategy Task Force: Final Report of the Co-Chairs by former Secretary of State Madeleine K. Albright and former National Security Advisor Stephen J. Hadley. The Atlantic Council convened the Middle East Strategy Task Force (MEST) in February 2015 to examine the underlying issues of state failure and political legitimacy that drive extremist violence and threaten fundamental interests broadly shared by the peoples of the region and the rest of the world. The result of almost two years of intensive study, Albright and Hadley’s final report proposes nothing short of a paradigm shift in how the international community and the Middle East interact. Not only does the report present solutions to the region’s most immediate crises in Syria, Iraq, Yemen, and Libya, it also puts forward a pragmatic and actionable long-term strategy that emphasizes the efforts of the people of the Middle East themselves, with an eye toward harnessing the region’s enormous human potential. The event was introduced by Mr. Frederick Kempe, President and CEO of the Atlantic Council, and moderated Mr. Ayman Mohyeldin, Foreign Correspondent of NBC News and Anchor of MSNBC.
On November 16, 2016, Dr. Marlene Laruelle, Mr. Neil Barnett, and Dr. Alina Polyakova, who were joined by Dr. Andreas Umland, Dr. Mitchell Orenstein, Dr. Péter Krekó, and Mr. Josh Rogin, launched their report The Kremlin’s Trojan Horses: Russian Influence in France, Germany, and the United Kingdom, a new report from the Atlantic Council’s Dinu Patriciu’s Eurasia Center. Unlike in Central Eastern Europe, Moscow’s tactics in the West are purposely subtler and difficult to trace. This report documents how the Russian government cultivates relationships with ideologically friendly political parties, individuals, and civic groups to build an army of Trojan Horses across European polities. This network of political allies, named in the report, serves the Kremlin’s foreign policy agenda that seeks to infiltrate politics, influence policy, and inculcate an alternative, pro-Russian view of the international order.
The report presents three cases, France, Germany, and the United Kingdom, each written by a leading expert: Dr. Marlene Laruelle, director of the Central Asia Program and associate director of the Institute for European, Russian, and Eurasian Studies at the Elliott School of International Affairs at The George Washington University; Mr. Neil Barnett, chief executive officer of Istok Associates; Dr. Stefan Meister, director, Eastern Europe, Russia, and Central Asia, Robert Bosch Center, German Council on Foreign Relations; and Dr. Alina Polyakova, deputy director of the Dinu Patriciu Eurasia Center and senior fellow with the Future Europe Initiative at the Atlantic Council.
Visit http://www.atlanticcouncil.org/ for more.
In the four years since the National Intelligence Council’s Global Trends 2030 was published, the biggest change in the world is the increased risk of major conflict. In 2012, a large-scale US/NATO conflict with Russia or China was close to unthinkable. Now, the post-Cold War security order has broken down, and the consequences are immense, potentially threatening globalization itself.
In Global Risks 2035: Search for a New Normal, Mathew Burrows, director of the Atlantic Council’s Strategic Foresight Initiative and author of Global Trends 2030, analyzes geopolitical and technological trends to present five alternative futures based on how well global actors may respond, react, and adapt to growing uncertainty and change. A panel, consisting of report author Mathew Burrows, Millennium Leadership Fellow Samantha Vinograd, Former US Ambassador to Mexico and Argentina Earl Anthony Wayne, and Director of Communications for 1776 Erin McPike, discussed the highlights of Burrows’ report and then responded to questions from the audience on September 22, 2016. The original report can be found here.
In light of a shrinking force structure and limited resources despite increasing global commitments, our panelists David Barno and Nora Bensahel, senior fellows at the Atlantic Council’s Brent Scowcroft Center on International Security; Brad Carson, former Undersecretary of Defense for Personnel and Readiness at US Department of Defense provide a range of recommendations in three distinct time horizons to help Army leaders build the next Army successfully. From the Army Today, 2016-20, the Army of Tomorrow, 2020-25, and the Army of the Day After Tomorrow, 2025-40+, Barno and Bensahel offer fresh ideas that spark debate, challenge hoary assumptions, and animate the need for change. The event took place on September 21. 2016, moderated by Missy Ryan of the Washington Post. The original report by Barno and Bensahel is available here.
Robert Work, Deputy Secretary at the US Department of Defense, discussed art, narrative, and the third offset in the ending keynote of 2016 Global Strategy Forum on May 2, 2016. The discussion was moderated by August Cole, Director of the Atlantic Council’s Art of the future Project, and introduced by Frederick Kempe, President and CEO of the Atlantic Council.
Crude oil prices have hit a twelve-year low owing to a combination of resurgent Iraqi exports, the United States’ shale revolution, and Saudi Arabia’s refusal to cut production in an effort to protect its market share. Additionally, post-sanctions Iran’s re-entrance into the global marketplace has contributed to this global glut, which will only pose further challenges to the region’s energy producers. Dr. Salam Fayyad, Former Prime Minister of the Palestinian Authority; The Hon. Sherri Goodman, Board Director at the Atlantic Council; Karen Elliott House, Former Publisher at the Wall Street Journal; and Raad Alkadiri, Managing Director for Petroleum Sector Risk at IHS Energy discuss the security and economic implications of falling oil prices on the Middle East.
The Atlantic Council hosts its first TPP-focused public event in Washington, DC since the successful conclusion of negotiations. US Trade Representative Michael Froman and Assistant Secretary of the Bureau of East Asian and Pacific Affairs at the US Department of State Daniel R. Russel discuss what the Trans-Pacific Partnership means for US economic and strategic leadership and the implications for commercial opportunities in Latin America and in Asia.
Stella Dawson of Thomson Reuters moderates a discussion on using big data to target human trafficking in a strategically significant way, and what the government can do to prevent malevolent actors from using new technologies for nefarious purposes. Other speakers include Ernie Allen, Former President and CEO of the National Center for Missing and Exploited Children and International Center for Missing and Exploited Children; Bradley Myles, CEO of Polaris Project; Kilian Moote, Project Director of KnowTheChain, Humanity United; Amy Pope, Deputy Assistant to the President for Homeland Security, White House; and John Solomon, Director of Threat Finance at Thomson Reuters.
Penny Mordaunt is the first woman to assume the post of Minister of State for the Armed Forces at the UK Ministry of Defense. At the Atlantic Council on September 3, 2015, she provided her perspective on the priorities of the UK military for the short and long term, and commented on the UK’s strategic aims as a partner and ally.
The United States is nearly alone in professing that states should not spy for the private sector’s commercial benefit. But could the United States reach better economic and national security outcomes if it joined its adversaries in spying for profit? Melanie Teplinsky of the American University Washington College of Law moderates a panel of cyber security experts: Dmitri Alperovitch, Cofounder and CTO of CrowdStrike and a Nonresident Senior Fellow at the Atlantic Council; Stewart Baker, a Partner at Steptoe & Johnson, LLP; and Harvey Rishikof, Chair of the Advisory Committee for the American Bar Association Standing Committee on Law and National Security. The event took place on July 29, 2015.
The Middle East Strategy Task Force (MEST) is a bipartisan effort that seeks to examine, through dialogue with partners in the Middle East and the international community, how the United States and other key actors can better collaborate to rebuild a regional order based on well-governed, legitimate states. MEST Co-Chairs Madeline Albright and Stephen Hadley discuss public opinion in the Middle East with a distinguished panel on June 4, 2015. The event was the public launch of MEST. To view the data presentations, please watch the webcast at http://bit.ly/1OLCSgJ.
After twenty months of negotiations, a deal has been reached over Iran’s nuclear program. While the details of the deal have finally been made public, many questions remain. Atlantic Council Senior Fellows Matthew Kroenig and Barbara Slavin have a discussion on what comes next after the agreement, moderated by Director of the Rafik Hariri Center and former US Ambassador to Turkey Francis Ricciardone. The call took place on July 15, one day after the agreement took place.
In the following program, Atlantic Council Senior Fellow Bilal Saab launches his report, “The New Containment: Changing America’s Approach to Middle East Security.” Following his presentation, CNN Correspondent Barbara Starr moderates a discussion with Bilal Saab, Dr. Barry Posen, Director of Security Studies at MIT, and Dr. Richard Haass, President of the Council on Foreign Relations about US interests, regional cooperation, state sustainability, and relations with Iran.
What role would the United States’ play in the international community if Senator Lindsey Graham was president? Senator Graham speaks about his foreign policy strategy with CNN’s Jake Tapper as part of the Brent Scowcroft Center’s “America’s Role in the World” series.
The Ambassadors of France (Gerard Araud), Britain (Peter Westmacott), and Germany (Peter Wittig) to the United States join the Atlantic Council to discuss the role of the “E-3” in negotiating a nuclear agreement with Iran, and the implications of a comprehensive long-term deal for European relations with Iran. The panel was moderated by Barbara Slavin.
Will the struggles over power and resources on Earth extend off-world? If so, how might they play out? The Brent Scowcroft Center on International Security’s Art of Future Warfare project travels into the final decade of the 21st Century to consider conflict in space. Panelists include best-selling science fiction writer David Brin; Jason Batt, editorial director at the 100 Year Starship; Jaym Gates, editor and communications director at the Science Fiction Writers Association; and author of the war-art challenge winning story From A Remove, Alec Medénto.
What is the future of Iraqi Kurdistan and the region viewed from Erbil? What are the challenges and priorities of Iraqi Kurdistan in the war against ISIS? What are the key issues in US-KRG relations? On Wednesday, May 6, 2015, the Atlantic Council and the United States Institute of Peace welcomed H.E. Masoud Barzani, President of the Kurdistan Region of Iraq, for a public address to answer these questions at the Atlantic Council headquarters in Washington, DC.
Jamie Metzl, Nonresident Senior Fellow for Technology and National Security at the Atlantic Council, speaks about the flaws in the Chinese reform process at the China-US Business Alliance in New York.
Despite the recent boost from cheaper oil and sustained US growth, global economic recovery is still impeded by high public debt, high unemployment, and insufficient public investment. Christine Lagarde, Managing Director of the International Monetary Fund, will discuss the state of the global economy and policy actions needed to ensure sustained economic recovery and growth.
How should we assess the global terrorist threats posed by ISIS and al-Qaeda? Should al-Qaeda continue to be a counterterrorism priority for the United States? Are al-Qaeda and ISIS equally dangerous, but in different ways?
Listen to this week’s episode for a discussion of the potential differences between ISIS and al-Qaeda and how the US government should deal with the threats from both.
As the annual COP21 international climate negotiations draw near, and as the world experiences symptoms of climate change including increased precipitation, sea level rise, and heat waves, the next few months are crucial. In this episode, Secretary Kerry speaks about the US government’s climate efforts, place climate negotiations in a global context, and outline why climate change is a priority for the nation’s chief diplomat.